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  • Most Americans say higher ed is heading in wrong direction, but partisans disagree on why
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  • Everything Is Being Put Into Place For The Economic Transition - Episode 1623a

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    These are external links and will open in a new window Close share panel Donald Trump took his place in the White House exactly one year ago.

    Since then he has repeatedly claimed to be behind a new rise in the American economy. Here, six charts explore his relationship with US growth, the labour market and trade. The latest figures, released by the US Department of Commerce in Decembershow that it grew at an annual rate of 3.

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    However, after the US central bank, the Federal Reserveraised interest rates for the third time in in December, it is possible growth will slow in the coming months. US stocks have had a record run The Dow Jones Industrial Average - which follows the shares of 30 major US companies - has risen to record highs throughout the past year in a run that stretches back to Augustjust before Mr Trump's election.

    Mr Trump's supporters argue that his corporation tax cuts, passed shortly before Christmas, helped to boost US shares, along with his US-centric policies, his clampdown on bureaucracy and his promises of infrastructure investment. Unemployment is falling US unemployment is falling - down to 4. However, this downward trend began during President Barack Obama's time in office.

    When Mr Obama left the White House, unemployment was 4. Wages remain relatively flat Despite other positive economic indicators, US wage levels have flattened since Mr Trump took office. Wage growth has stayed between 2. Economists are, in fact, struggling to understand why low unemployment hasn't led to an increase in wages.

    However, the general forecast for is that wages will rise if unemployment continues to fall. Workers yet to return to the jobs market One possible explanation for stagnant wages is that the number of workers who left the US workforce following the recession was higher than first thought.

    The labour force participation rate refers to the number of people who are either employed or are actively looking for work. It has remained stable since Mr Trump was elected. The trade deficit is rising President Trump has made improving US trade a priority of his administration.

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    However, the country's trade deficit - when imports are higher than exports - has actually risen to a level not seen since Part of the explanation for the deficit could be that the continued growth of the US economy, and an increase in consumer confidence, have led to an increase in the goods bought by US shoppers from overseas. However, the negative trade balance could put increasing pressure on the Trump administration, with the country now out of the Trans-Pacific Partnership TPP trade deal and amid renegotiation of the North American Free Trade Agreement Nafta.

    Produced and written by Daniele Palumbo.
    A new wave of dating websites, such as OKCupid, emerged in the early s. And the arrival of Tinder changed dating even further. Today, more than one-third of marriages start online. Clearly, these sites have had a huge impact on dating behavior. But now the first evidence is emerging that their effect is much more profound.

    The way people meet their partners has changed dramatically in recent years For more than 50 years, researchers have studied the nature of the networks that link people to each other. These social networks turn out to have a peculiar property.

    One obvious type of network links each node with its nearest neighbors, in a pattern like a chess board or chicken wire. Another obvious kind of network links nodes at random. But real social networks are not like either of these. Instead, people are strongly connected to a relatively small group of neighbors and loosely connected to much more distant people.

    These loose connections turn out to be extremely important.

    Everything Is Being Put Into Place For The Economic Transition - Episode 1623a


    Loose ties have traditionally played a key role in meeting partners. While most people were unlikely to date one of their best friends, they were highly likely to date people who were linked with their group of friends; a friend of a friend, for example. Indeed, this has long been reflected in surveys of the way people meet their partners: Online dating has changed that.

    Today, online dating is the second most common way for heterosexual couples to meet. For homosexual couples, it is far and away the most popular.

    That has significant implications. And when people meet in this way, it sets up social links that were previously nonexistent. The question that Ortega and Hergovich investigate is how this changes the racial diversity of society. The researchers start by simulating what happens when extra links are introduced into a social network.

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    Their network consists of men and women from different races who are randomly distributed. In this model, everyone wants to marry a person of the opposite sex but can only marry someone with whom a connection exists.

    This leads to a society with a relatively low level of interracial marriage. But if the researchers add random links between people from different ethnic groups, the level of interracial marriage changes dramatically. And there is another surprising effect. The team measure the strength of marriages by measuring the average distance between partners before and after the introduction of online dating.

    Next, the researchers compare the results of their models to the observed rates of interracial marriage in the U. But the rate of increase changed at about the time that online dating become popular. The increase became steeper in the s, when online dating became even more popular.

    Then, inthe proportion of interracial marriages jumped again. Tinder has some 50 million users and produces more than 12 million matches a day. But it is consistent with the hypothesis that it does. Meanwhile, research into the strength of marriage has found some evidence that married couples who meet online have lower rates of marital breakup than those who meet traditionally. That has the potential to significantly benefit society. Of course, there are other factors that could contribute to the increase in interracial marriage.

    One is that the trend is the result of a reduction in the percentage of Americans who are white. If marriages were random, this should increase the number of interracial marriages, but not by the observed amount.

    That leaves online dating as the main driver of this change. These changes are set to continue, and to benefit society as result. The Strength of Absent Ties: Social Integration via Online Dating.

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